图书情报知识 ›› 2026, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (2): 131-142,168.doi: 10.13366/j.dik.2026.02.131

• 情报、信息与共享 • 上一篇    下一篇

突发自然灾害事件在线求助信息传播效果的影响因素

王伊杨1,2,3, 王丹丹4   

  1. 1.武汉大学信息管理学院,武汉,430072;
    2.武汉大学大数据研究院,武汉,430072;
    3. 武汉大学信息资源研究中心,武汉,430072;
    4.香港浸会大学传理学院,香港,999077
  • 出版日期:2026-03-10 发布日期:2026-05-21
  • 通讯作者: 王丹丹(ORCID: 0000-0002-5319-5820),博士,研究员,研究方向:社会计算、计算传播、谣言治理、危机管理、健康信息,Email: dandanw_iris@hkbu.edu.hk。
  • 作者简介:王伊杨(ORCID:0009-0006-1555-5668),硕士,研究方向:舆情治理,Email: yiyang_wang@whu.edu.cn。
  • 基金资助:
    本文系国家社会科学基金“加快构建中国特色哲学社会科学学科体系、学术体系、话语体系”研究专项项目“新时代中国特色图情学基本理论问题研究”(19VXK09)的研究成果之一。

Factors Influencing the Dissemination Effectiveness of Online Help-Seeking Information During Sudden Natural Disasters

WANG Yiyang1,2,3, WANG Dandan4   

  1. 1. School of Information Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072 ;
    2. Big Data Institute, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072;
    3. The Center for the Studies of Information Resources, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072;
    4. School of Communication, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong, 999077
  • Online:2026-03-10 Published:2026-05-21
  • Contact: Correspondence should be addressed to WANG Dandan, Email: dandanw_iris@hkbu.edu.hk, ORCID: 0000-0002-5319-5820
  • Supported by:
    This is an outcome of the Special Research Project "A Study on the Basic Theoretical Problems of Library and Information Science with Chinese Characteristics in the New Era"(19VXK09) affiliated to the project "Accelerating the Construction of Discipline System, Academic System and Discourse System of Philosophy and Social Sciences with Chinese Characteristics" supported by National Social Science Foundation of China.

摘要: [目的/意义]突发自然灾害情境下,社交媒体求助信息传播关乎应急响应时效。本研究聚焦于求助信息的特征分布与级联扩散路径,旨在为优化应急信息管理策略、提升应急管理效能提供依据。[研究设计/方法]首先基于信息处理启发式—系统式模式构建影响因素框架,运用主题抽取、情感分析等自然语言处理技术提取并量化求助信息特征;而后结合独立级联模型与社会网络分析,量化求助信息级联的规模、深度与结构性病毒指数。采用负二项回归与多元线性回归模型探究各因素对求助信息级联传播效果的影响机制。[结论/发现]研究发现,危机沟通场景下社交媒体存在注意力不平等现象:少数求助信息吸引多数关注,易导致部分求助信息被忽视;消极情绪的表达有利于求助信息传播,而情感波动会抑制信息传播;尽管结构化信息有利于信息传播,但结构化求助信息的比例普遍较低。[创新/价值]整合启发式—系统式模型与独立级联模型,拓展了突发自然灾害事件中求助信息传播的研究视角,有助于社交媒体求助者优化求助策略,并为应急管理和公众舆论管理者制定更为科学合理的应急管理决策提供参考。

关键词: 在线求助信息, 突发自然灾害事件, 应急管理, 危机沟通, 社交媒体

Abstract: [Purpose/Significance] In the context of sudden-onset natural disasters, the dissemination of help-seeking information via social media directly impacts the timeliness of emergency responses. This study examines the characteristics distribution and cascading diffusion paths of such information, aiming to provide a basis for optimizing emergency information management strategies and enhancing effectiveness of emergency management. [Design/Methodology] Firstly, an influencing factor framework is constructed based on the Heuristic-Systematic Model of information processing. Natural language processing techniques such as topic extraction and sentiment analysis are employed to extract and quantify the characteristics of help-seeking information. Secondly, combining the Independent Cascading Model with social network analysis, the scale, depth, and structural virality index of the help-seeking information cascade are quantified. Finally, negative binomial regression and multiple linear regression models are utilized to explore the influencing mechanism of various factors on the cascading spread effect of help-seeking information. [Findings/Conclusion] The study reveals that there exists a phenomenon of attention inequality in social media under crisis communication contexts: a small number of help-seeking messages attract most of the attention, which easily leads to some help-seeking messages being overlooked; meanwhile, the expression of negative emotions facilitates the spread of help-seeking messages, while emotional fluctuations inhibit information spread; furthermore, although structured information is beneficial to information spread, the proportion of structured help-seeking messages in real-world scenarios is generally low. [Originality/Value] By integrating the Heuristic-Systematic Model and the Independent Cascading Model, this study expands the research perspective on the spread of help-seeking information during sudden natural disasters. It is helpful for social media help-seekers to optimize their help-seeking strategies, and provides references for emergency management and public opinion managers to develop more scientific and reasonable emergency management decisions.

Keywords: Online help-seeking information, Sudden natural disasters, Emergency management, Crisis communication, Social media