图书情报知识 ›› 2021, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (2): 88-99.doi: 10.13366/j.dik.2021.02.088

• 图书、文献与交流 • 上一篇    下一篇

事件视角的图书馆发展风险研究

陈传夫,孙异凡,李秋实   

  • 出版日期:2021-03-10 发布日期:2021-05-07

Study on Library Development Risks from the Perspective of Events

  • Online:2021-03-10 Published:2021-05-07

摘要: [目的/意义]分析典型的风险事件,为科学规制图书馆发展风险提供参考。[研究设计/方法] 应用案例分析、文献调研方法,以图书馆发展的关键风险因素为基础,研究了风险事件的形成及相关风险因素的作用机制。[结论/发现] 资源、用户、服务、管理、环境是形成图书馆发展风险的关键因素,风险因素的关联、叠加、迭代变化可能导致风险的放大、扩散和突变等效应,引发风险事件。
[创新/价值]分析了图书馆发展风险事件的形成机理;面向未来发展,提出防范图书馆发展风险的规制思路。

关键词: 图书馆, 发展风险, 案例分析, 风险事件

Abstract: [Purpose/Significance]Typical risk events of library development are analysed to provide references for insuring scientific regulations on library development risks.[Design/Methodology]Based upon the key risk factors in library development, this article studies risk events' formation and risk factors' action mechanism by using the case study method and literature research method. [Findings/Conclusion]The Resource, user, service, management and environment are the key risk factors of library development. The correlation, superposition, and iterative changes of such factors may lead to the amplification, spread and mutation of risks, and trigger the risk events. [Originality/Value]After analysing the formation mechanism of risk events, this research, orienting to the libraries' future development, proposes the idea of preventing risks, avoiding risk consequences, and regulating the library development risks.

Key words: Library, Development risk, Case study, Risk Event